Photo: Ubisoft/Kirill Bashkirov
When w7m esports dropped IGL Gleidson “GdNN1” Nunes, it was perhaps the craziest move since G2 Esports dropped Daniel “Goga” Mzura. They were on the rise, but they bet their future becoming a top four on Julio “Julio” Giacomelli. There was a chance that he wouldn’t fit in well with the team or that his IGL wouldn’t work when he wasn’t alongside his NiP teammates.
But now, they need just one more win against the Black Dragons to achieve their first goal and return to the semi-finals of a Major and look virtually unstoppable en route to their maiden title.
But even though w7m look like they’re tied for the title, FaZe are past champions, and Liquid have some of the most beloved players in the region, Brazil’s heart will likely be behind the Black Dragons. The organization did so much for the region and finally re-established itself as a leading team in the siege. They are going to be the ultimate underdogs in this game.
The most striking thing when looking at this data is how much green is in the w7m column. Throughout Stage 3, they are undefeated on six different maps and always prevent the seventh.
That leaves only Coffee and Oregon as their “weak” maps, and throughout 2022, they’ve still won more of those maps than they’ve lost them. To make matters worse, Kafe is Black Dragons’ most banned map and they haven’t won it all year.
To win BO3, Black Dragons will need to win two maps. However, w7m will probably ban the theme park, giving BD a chance to pick Oregon, and then w7m can ban Kafe. As such, that leaves five maps where w7m are flawless and BD needs to crack at least one of them to win the series.
BD has a solid chance to win in Oregon — they took it 7-4 against w7m during the Elite Six Cup — but finding a second win is the challenge.
who will win?
Realistically there is no way you can look at this game and not put w7m on top.
They are undefeated in seven maps in Stage 3, are on a 17 game unbeaten streak, and have become the first team ever to take 18 out of 18 points in their major. They also have an SI winning IGL and won the Big Six quarterfinals just three months ago.
The Black Dragons have the history and underdog support, but they’ve barely made the playoffs in a major.
However, this does not disqualify the squad, as reaching the quarter-finals on your first international appearance is not something to be taken lightly. They defeated NiP and FURIA to reach the Major and beat the more experienced MNM Gaming in their group, but w7m are a completely different beast. A 1-2 loss would be an impressive result on its own, if they can sweep Oregon again.